VARIETIES OF NATIONAL PARTY SYSTEMS

(See Table 1.4 and Mair, Chapter 4 in CD2)




United States:   Two longstanding “big” parties plus usually insignificant minor parties

                          Closed-convergent/wholesale alternation (but frequent “divided government”)



PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 2000

Candidate                   Party               No. of votes   Vote % (Vt %)2   EV     EV %  (EV %)2

Albert Gore Jr.            Democratic     51,003,238      .4838   .2341    267    .4963   .2463

George W. Bush         Republican      50,459,624       .4787   .2292    271   .5037   .2537

Ralph Nader               Green                2,882,985      .0274   .0007        0    .0000   .0000

Patrick Buchanan        Reform                 449,120      .0043   .0000        0    .0000   .0000

Harry Browne             Libertarian           384,440      .0036    .0000        0    .0000   .0000

All others                                               232,922       .0022   .0000        0    .0000   .0000

Sum of (Vote prop.)2 = .4703   Reciprocal = Effective N of Electoral Parties = 2.126

Sum of (EV prop.)2 = .50003   Reciprocal = Effective N of Assembly Parties = 1.9999



CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION OF 2000

                                    Party               No. of votes Vote % (Vt %)2         S       S %     (S% )2

House                         Democratic     46,541,572      .4990   .2490        222    .5103   .2605

    "                              Republican     46,731,446      .5010   .2510        211    .4851   .2353

                                   Other              Scattered                                          2    .5000   .2500

Senate                         Democratic     36,788,222     .5004     .2504        50    .5000    .2500

   "                                Republican      36,729,792   .4996      .2496        50     .5000   .2500

                                    Other              Scattered                                         0

House: Sum of (Vote prop.)2 = .5000         Effective N of Electoral Parties = 2.0000

             Sum of (Seat prop.)2 = .4958         Effective N of Assembly Parties = 2.0169

Senate: Sum of (Vote prop.)2 = .5000         Effective N of Electoral Parties = 2.0000

             Sum of (Seat prop.)2 = .5000         Effective N of Assembly Parties = 2.0000


See Federal Election Commission (http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2000/cover.htm)



 

Britain:           Two longstanding major parties plus one minor party plus “nationalist” parties

                        Closed-convergent/wholesale alternation (but possibility of “hung parliament”)

Tories ⇒ Conservative Party (right)

                                    Whigs ⇒ Liberal Party ⇒ SPD Alliance ⇒ Liberal Democrats (center left)

                                    Labour Representation Committee ⇒ Labour Party (left)

                                    Nationalist parties (Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales)


                  The effective number of UK (electoral and assembly) parties in 2001

                                         vote shares              squared seats     seat shares squared

            Labour                        .407                 .1656               412       .627              .393

            Conservative               .317                 .1005               166       .253               .064

             Liberal Democrats      .183                 .0335                 52       .079              .006     

            SNP                            .018                 .0003                  5       .008               .001

            UKIndependence        .015                 .0002                   0       .000               .000

            Ulster Unionist             .008                 .0001                   6       .009              .001     

            Plaid Cymru                .007                 .0000                    4       .006              .000

            Dem. Unionist             .007                  .0000                   5       .008              .001

            Sinn Fein                    .007                  .0000                   3       .005              .000

            SDLP                         .006                 .0000                    3       .005              .000 

            Greens                        .006                 .0000                    0       .000              .000

            Total                           1.00                 .3002                656       1.00              .466

            1/total squared                          NefV = 3.85                                        NefS = 2.16


See http://www.nationmaster.com/encyclopedia/United-Kingdom-general-elections


 

Italy:               One major party plus many smaller parties plus one or two “anti-system” parties

(pre-1990)       Closed-polarized/partial or non-alternation

                                    Communist Party (far left)

                                    Socialist Party (left)

                                    Social Democratic Party (moderate left)

                                    Republican Party (moderate left)

                                    Christian Democratic Party (center)

                                    Liberal Party (moderate right [but anti-clerical])

                                    Monarchist Party (right)

                                    MSI (far right, neo-fascist)

 

(since 1990)    Two major alliances (center left and center right)

                        Closed-convergent/wholesale alternation



 

Canada:         Prior to 1993: two longstanding “big” parties plus minor and/or /regional parties

                        closed-convergent/wholesale alternation

                                    Liberal Party (center left)

                                    Progressive Conservative Party (center right)

                                    CCF ⇒ New Democratic Party (left)

                                    Social Credit Party (right/populist)

                                    Reform Party (right/populist [1993]

Parti/Bloc Quebecois (separatist)

            The effective number of Canadian (electoral and assembly) parties in 1993:

                                          vote shares      squared                 seats      seat shares           squared

                        Lib.                  .42                   .17                   177                  .60                   .36

                        BQ                  .14                   .02                      54                  .18                   .03

                         Ref.                 .18                   .03                      52                  .18                   .03

                        NDP                .07                   .01                        9                  .03                   .00

                        PC                   .16                   .03                        2                  .01                   .00

                        Other               .04                   .00                        1                  .00                   .00

                        Total              1.00                   .26                    295                1.00                   .46

                        1/total squared               NefV = 3.85                                                          NefS = 2.17

 

Since 1993, a new Conservative Party has formed. The effective number of Canadian (electoral and assembly) parties in 2004:

                                        vote shares        squared               seats        seat shares           squared

                        Lib.                 .367                 .135                 135                  .438                 .192

                        Con.                .296                 .088                   98                  .318                 .101

                        BQ                  .124                 .015                   54                  .175                 .031

                        NDP                .157                 .025                   20                  .065                 .004

                        Other               .043                 .002                     1                  .000                 .000

                        Total              1.000                 .265                 308                1.000                 .328

                        1/total squared               NefV = 3.77                                                                  NefS = 3.05


See http://www.nodice.ca/election2004/electionresults.html

 

Israel:             Two semi-major parties plus many minor parties

                        Semi-closed and somewhat polarized / partial alternation

                                    Labour (center left)

                                    Likud (center right) 

                                    National Religious Party

                                    Shas (religious)

                                    Meretz (center left/secular)

                                    Arab Democratic Party

                                    many other                                                                             


ELECTIONS IN ISRAEL JANUARY 2003:

Final Results of Elections to the 16th Knesset

 

Voting statistics:  

            Total number of ballot boxes counted:                                         7,697

            Total number of registered voters:                                         4,720,074

            Total Ballots:                                                                        3,200,773

            Invalid Ballots:                                                                           52,409

            Valid Ballots:                                                                        3,148,364

            Number of votes for qualifying threshold:                                    44,750

            Number of votes per Knesset seat:                                             23,860


Votes by party list:

Party List              No. of votes     Vote prop. (Vote prop.)2 Seats  Seat pr.   (Seat pr.)2 

Likud                          925,279           .294     .084                 38        .316     .100

Labor                          455,183           .145     .021                 19        .158     .025

Shinui                         386,535            .123     .015                  15        .125     .016

Shas                            258,879          .082      .007                  11        .092     .008

National Unity            173,973            .055     .003                    7        .058     .003

Meretz                       164,122            .052     .003                    6        .050     .003

Torah and Shabbat     135,087           .043      .002                    6        .050     .002

National Religious      132,370            .042     .002                     5        .042     .002

Hadash                        93,819           .030      .001                     4        .033     .001

Am Ehad                     86,808           .028      .001                     4        .033     .001

Balad                           71,299           .023     .001                      3        .025     .001

Yisrael Ba'aliya            67,719            .022     .000                     2        .017     .000

United Arab List          65,551            .021     .000                     2        .017     .000

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Green Leaf Party         37,855             .011    .000                     0        .000    .000

Herut                           36,202            .010                 Sum of (Vote prop.)2 = .140

Prog Nat. Alliance       20,571             .007

Green Party                 12,833             .004                 Effective N of Electoral Parties = 7.14

Yisrael Aheret             7,144               .002

Ahavat Yisrael             5,468               .002 

Tzomet                        2,023               .001

Center Party                 1,961              .001 

Org for Dem. Action    1,925               .001                 Sum of (Seat prop.)2 = .162

Citizen and State          1,566               .000

Men's Rights in Family  1,284               .000                  Effective N of Assembly Parties = 6.17

Lahava                         1,181               .000

Za'am                             894                .000

Leeder                            833                .000


 

Germany:      Two major parties plus one or two minor parties

                        Mostly closed-convergent / partial to wholesale alternation

                                    Christian Democratic Union (CDU/CSU) (center right)

                                    Social Democratic Party (SPD) (left)

                                    Free Democratic Party (FDP) (center)

                                    Green Party (left)

                                    Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS) (far left)

                                    National Democratic Party (NDP)/Republican Party (right)

 

 

Scandinavia: One major left party plus several smaller right and center parties

                        Closed-convergent / partial to wholesale alternation)

                                    Social Democratic/Labour parties (left)

                                    "bourgeois" [Conservative, Moderate, Liberal, Agrarian, Christian, Center] parties (center right)

                                    "anti-tax" parties (populist right)

                                    Communists and/or Left Socialists parties

 

France:          Clear Left vs. Right alliances

Fairly open and mildly polarized/wholesale alternation (but possible “cohabitation”)

                                    Communist Party (far left)

                                    Socialist Party (left)

                                    Independent Republicans/MRP (center right)

                                    Union For French Democracy (center right)

                                    Gaullists/Rally for Republic (right)

                                    Poujadists/National Front (far right)

 

India:            One and a half major parties plus many minor parties

                        Open-somewhat convergent / non-alternation to partial alternation)

                                    Congress (I)

                                    Bharatiya Janata

                                    Janata Dal

                                    many others

 

Mexico:          One longstanding dominant party and two challenging parties

                        Open-convergent (since 2000)

                                    Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) (center left)

                                    National Action Party (PAN) (right)

                                    Party of Democratic Revolution (PRD) (left)