VARIETIES OF NATIONAL PARTY SYSTEMS
(See Table 1.4 and Mair, Chapter 4 in CD2)
United States: Two longstanding “big” parties plus usually insignificant minor parties
Closed-convergent/wholesale alternation (but frequent “divided government”)
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 2000
Candidate Party No. of votes Vote % (Vt %)2 EV EV % (EV %)2
Albert Gore Jr. Democratic 51,003,238 .4838 .2341 267 .4963 .2463
George W. Bush Republican 50,459,624 .4787 .2292 271 .5037 .2537
Ralph Nader Green 2,882,985 .0274 .0007 0 .0000 .0000
Patrick Buchanan Reform 449,120 .0043 .0000 0 .0000 .0000
Harry Browne Libertarian 384,440 .0036 .0000 0 .0000 .0000
All others 232,922 .0022 .0000 0 .0000 .0000
Sum of (Vote prop.)2 = .4703 Reciprocal = Effective N of Electoral Parties = 2.126
Sum of (EV prop.)2 = .50003 Reciprocal = Effective N of Assembly Parties = 1.9999
CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION OF 2000
Party No. of votes Vote % (Vt %)2 S S % (S% )2
House Democratic 46,541,572 .4990 .2490 222 .5103 .2605
" Republican 46,731,446 .5010 .2510 211 .4851 .2353
Other Scattered
2 .5000 .2500
Senate
Democratic 36,788,222 .5004 .2504 50 .5000
.2500
"
Republican 36,729,792 .4996 .2496 50 .5000
.2500
Other Scattered 0
House: Sum of (Vote prop.)2 = .5000 Effective N of Electoral Parties = 2.0000
Sum of (Seat prop.)2 = .4958 Effective N of Assembly Parties = 2.0169
Senate: Sum of (Vote prop.)2 = .5000 Effective N of Electoral Parties = 2.0000
Sum of (Seat prop.)2 = .5000 Effective N of Assembly Parties = 2.0000
See Federal Election Commission (http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2000/cover.htm)
Britain: Two longstanding major parties plus one minor party plus “nationalist” parties
Closed-convergent/wholesale alternation (but possibility of “hung parliament”)
Tories ⇒ Conservative Party (right)
Whigs ⇒ Liberal Party ⇒ SPD Alliance ⇒ Liberal Democrats (center left)
Labour Representation Committee ⇒ Labour Party (left)
Nationalist parties (Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales)
The effective number of UK (electoral and assembly) parties in 2001
vote shares squared seats seat shares squared
Labour .407 .1656 412 .627 .393
Conservative .317 .1005 166 .253 .064
Liberal Democrats .183 .0335 52 .079 .006
SNP .018 .0003 5 .008 .001
UKIndependence .015 .0002 0 .000 .000
Ulster Unionist .008 .0001 6 .009 .001
Plaid Cymru .007 .0000 4 .006 .000
Dem. Unionist .007 .0000 5 .008 .001
Sinn Fein .007 .0000 3 .005 .000
SDLP .006 .0000 3 .005 .000
Greens .006 .0000 0 .000 .000
Total 1.00 .3002 656 1.00 .466
1/total squared NefV = 3.85 NefS = 2.16
See http://www.nationmaster.com/encyclopedia/United-Kingdom-general-elections
Italy: One major party plus many smaller parties plus one or two “anti-system” parties
(pre-1990) Closed-polarized/partial or non-alternation
Communist Party (far left)
Socialist Party (left)
Social Democratic Party (moderate left)
Republican Party (moderate left)
Christian Democratic Party (center)
Liberal Party (moderate right [but anti-clerical])
Monarchist Party (right)
MSI (far right, neo-fascist)
(since 1990) Two major alliances (center left and center right)
Closed-convergent/wholesale alternation
Canada: Prior to 1993: two longstanding “big” parties plus minor and/or /regional parties
closed-convergent/wholesale alternation
Liberal Party (center left)
Progressive Conservative Party (center right)
CCF ⇒ New Democratic Party (left)
Social Credit Party (right/populist)
Reform Party (right/populist [1993]
Parti/Bloc Quebecois (separatist)
The effective number of Canadian (electoral and assembly) parties in 1993:
vote shares squared seats seat shares squared
Lib. .42 .17 177 .60 .36
BQ .14 .02 54 .18 .03
Ref. .18 .03 52 .18 .03
NDP .07 .01 9 .03 .00
PC .16 .03 2 .01 .00
Other .04 .00 1 .00 .00
Total 1.00 .26 295 1.00 .46
1/total squared NefV = 3.85 NefS = 2.17
Since 1993, a new
Conservative Party has formed. The effective number of Canadian (electoral
and assembly) parties in 2004:
vote shares squared seats seat shares squared
Lib. .367 .135 135 .438 .192
Con. .296 .088 98 .318 .101
BQ .124 .015 54 .175 .031
NDP .157 .025 20 .065 .004
Other .043 .002 1 .000 .000
Total 1.000 .265 308 1.000 .328
1/total squared NefV = 3.77 NefS = 3.05
See http://www.nodice.ca/election2004/electionresults.html
Israel: Two semi-major parties plus many minor parties
Semi-closed and somewhat polarized / partial alternation
Labour (center left)
Likud (center right)
National Religious Party
Shas (religious)
Meretz (center left/secular)
Arab Democratic Party
many other
ELECTIONS IN ISRAEL JANUARY 2003:
Final Results of Elections to the 16th Knesset
Voting statistics:
Total number of ballot boxes counted: 7,697
Total number of registered voters: 4,720,074
Total Ballots: 3,200,773
Invalid Ballots: 52,409
Valid Ballots: 3,148,364
Number of votes for qualifying threshold: 44,750
Number of votes per Knesset seat: 23,860
Votes by party list:
Party List No. of votes Vote prop. (Vote prop.)2 Seats Seat pr. (Seat pr.)2
Likud 925,279 .294 .084 38 .316 .100
Labor 455,183 .145 .021 19 .158 .025
Shinui 386,535 .123 .015 15 .125 .016
Shas 258,879 .082 .007 11 .092 .008
National Unity 173,973 .055 .003 7 .058 .003
Meretz 164,122 .052 .003 6 .050 .003
Torah and Shabbat 135,087 .043 .002 6 .050 .002
National Religious 132,370 .042 .002 5 .042 .002
Hadash 93,819 .030 .001 4 .033 .001
Am Ehad 86,808 .028 .001 4 .033 .001
Balad 71,299 .023 .001 3 .025 .001
Yisrael Ba'aliya 67,719 .022 .000 2 .017 .000
United Arab List 65,551 .021 .000 2 .017 .000
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Green Leaf Party 37,855 .011 .000 0 .000 .000
Herut 36,202 .010 Sum of (Vote prop.)2 = .140
Prog Nat. Alliance 20,571 .007
Green Party 12,833 .004 Effective N of Electoral Parties = 7.14
Yisrael Aheret 7,144 .002
Ahavat Yisrael 5,468 .002
Tzomet 2,023 .001
Center Party 1,961 .001
Org for Dem. Action 1,925 .001 Sum of (Seat prop.)2 = .162
Citizen and State 1,566 .000
Men's Rights in Family 1,284 .000 Effective N of Assembly Parties = 6.17
Lahava 1,181 .000
Za'am 894 .000
Leeder 833 .000
Germany: Two major parties plus one or two minor parties
Mostly closed-convergent / partial to wholesale alternation
Christian Democratic Union (CDU/CSU) (center right)
Social Democratic Party (SPD) (left)
Free Democratic Party (FDP) (center)
Green Party (left)
Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS) (far left)
National Democratic Party (NDP)/Republican Party (right)
Scandinavia: One major left party plus several smaller right and center parties
Closed-convergent / partial to wholesale alternation)
Social Democratic/Labour parties (left)
"bourgeois" [Conservative, Moderate, Liberal, Agrarian, Christian, Center] parties (center right)
"anti-tax" parties (populist right)
Communists and/or Left Socialists parties
France: Clear Left vs. Right alliances
Fairly open and mildly polarized/wholesale alternation (but possible “cohabitation”)
Communist Party (far left)
Socialist Party (left)
Independent Republicans/MRP (center right)
Union For French Democracy (center right)
Gaullists/Rally for Republic (right)
Poujadists/National Front (far right)
India: One and a half major parties plus many minor parties
Open-somewhat convergent / non-alternation to partial alternation)
Congress (I)
Bharatiya Janata
Janata Dal
many others
Mexico: One longstanding dominant party and two challenging parties
Open-convergent (since 2000)
Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) (center left)
National Action Party (PAN) (right)
Party of Democratic Revolution (PRD) (left)